Research
Outlook
LPL Research Midyear Outlook 2026: Thoughts on the Second Half
Navigate markets with LPL Research’s 2026 Midyear Outlook, with insights on stocks, bonds, the economy, and more. Explore what to expect over the second half of 2026.
Research
Weekly Market Commentary | The Debt Math, Explained: Treasury Market Stress | October 05, 2026
Printer Friendly Version LPL Research examines rising government debt costs, Treasury market stress, and what investors should watch as higher rates reshape the fiscal outlook. Treasury market headlines. There’s been no shortage of Treasury market headlines lately. Higher oil prices, geopolitical uncertainty, weak Treasury auctions, and monetary policy changes and expectations have all played a…
Weekly Market Commentary | Stock Market’s Wall of Worry Gets Taller | September 28, 2026
Printer Friendly Version Stocks continue to climb a wall of worry, a wall that has gotten a bit taller as fall begins. The conflict in the Middle East, higher interest rates, and questions surrounding the enormous artificial intelligence (AI) capital spending boom all present legitimate risks for investors. While each of these challenges could generate…
Weekly Market Commentary | What’s Holding Up Record S&P 500 Margins? | September 21, 2026
LPL Research analyzes S&P 500 margin expansion, assessing how much is structural versus cyclical and what that means for future earnings forecasts.
Weekly Market Commentary | What History Teaches Us About Fed Hikes & Stocks | September 14, 2026
Printer Friendly Version A hot CPI print. Friday’s slightly hot Consumer Price Index (CPI) report lifted the bond market’s odds of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve (Fed) this week to near 90%. Markets take it in stride. The positive reactions from stocks and bonds were interesting, suggesting that perhaps market participants have been…
Weekly Market Commentary | Signs Point to a Normalization, Not a Crisis | September 8, 2026
August delivered the loudest bond market narrative in years, and almost none of it survived contact with the price action. Total public debt crossed $40 trillion on August 18. The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield reached 5.33% intraweek, a level last seen in 2007.
Weekly Market Commentary | The Cash Flow Case for Value Stocks | August 31, 2026
LPL Research explores why value stocks are outperforming, how free cash flow drives returns, and the impact of AI spending on markets.
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