Stocks continued to rally in July despite elevated COVID-19 cases in many US states and globally, as well as evidence that the economic recovery was leveling off based on high-frequency economic data. Low interest rates amid ongoing massive stimulus and optimism...
Investment Takeaways Market pundits may have to revisit the popular “Sell in May” adage as stocks rose for the seventh May in the past eight years. The disconnect between the strong stock market rally in the S&P 500 Index from March lows and the economic impact...
Investment Takeaways As May began, investors continued to try to reconcile the strong rebound in stocks with the devastating economic damage from COVID-19. Given the strength of the rally since the March lows, in our view, the risk of a correction in the short term...
Investment Takeaways We continue to follow our Road to Recovery Playbook to determine where we are in the stock market’s bottoming process. We believe the proces is well underway, and we anticipate having visibility into a peak in COVID-19 cases soon—our key to stocks...
The COVID-19 outbreak (coronavirus) roiled markets over the past two weeks, putting the S&P 500 into correction territory and near a 20% bear market decline. Though new cases in China slowed during the month, data out of China pointed to economic contraction and...
Data reported in January and early February reflected continued, moderate growth in the U.S. economy. U.S. manufacturing data improved from weak levels, defense drove durable goods order growth, and underlying data on the U.S. consumer and job growth was solid. The...
